Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.493354 0.562809 0.635194 0.715980 0.803344 0.894702 0.997188
2024-12-15 0.416222 0.516524 0.626628 0.755345 0.900590 1.058366 1.241662
2024-12-22 0.338034 0.456220 0.592655 0.759146 0.954232 1.173147 1.434925
2024-12-29 0.295379 0.429998 0.592432 0.797938 1.046217 1.332029 1.681441
2025-01-05 0.246859 0.389298 0.569182 0.805045 1.098472 1.444395 1.875901
2025-01-12 0.207308 0.354169 0.548058 0.810944 1.146809 1.551200 2.064538
2025-01-19 0.179869 0.331288 0.539490 0.830255 1.210323 1.676114 2.275990
2025-01-26 0.158906 0.314441 0.536553 0.855119 1.279975 1.808673 2.497970
2025-02-02 0.140768 0.299082 0.533603 0.878488 1.347007 1.938141 2.717317
2025-02-09 0.118399 0.273570 0.513333 0.875889 1.378405 2.021873 2.879897
2025-02-16 0.103407 0.257934 0.505809 0.889727 1.430923 2.132458 3.076813
2025-02-23 0.086898 0.236852 0.487761 0.886694 1.459319 2.211240 3.233468
2025-03-02 0.068318 0.208762 0.456451 0.862861 1.458736 2.252931 3.344862
2025-03-09 0.059249 0.197760 0.451827 0.878273 1.512954 2.367676 3.551954
2025-03-16 0.047171 0.177630 0.429655 0.865104 1.525423 2.426084 3.685855
2025-03-23 0.042824 0.174160 0.436124 0.896661 1.602741 2.572975 3.937454
2025-03-30 0.035341 0.161218 0.424171 0.897849 1.635197 2.658708 4.108774
2025-04-06 0.029111 0.149703 0.413566 0.900261 1.668919 2.746109 4.282771
2025-04-13 0.025250 0.143687 0.412800 0.918550 1.726348 2.866725 4.502116
2025-04-20 0.022443 0.140025 0.416209 0.943655 1.794182 3.002306 4.742488
2025-04-27 0.019860 0.136304 0.419079 0.967691 1.860571 3.136402 4.981866
2025-05-04 0.015752 0.125715 0.406595 0.964367 1.884458 3.210463 5.140113
2025-05-11 0.013320 0.120267 0.404434 0.978783 1.935789 3.323749 5.352541